Collaborate with Mark ✅

Collaborate with Mark ✅

🔒 Leader's Dispatch: 2026 Is Speaking. Are You Hearing It?

Leader's Dispatch Volume 21 (Part 4 of 4 Part Series)

Mark S. Carroll ✅'s avatar
Mark S. Carroll ✅
Dec 08, 2025
∙ Paid

Top of the Series: 🔒Leader’s Dispatch: Has OpenAI Lost Its Strategic Edge? (Windsurf AI ☢️Fallout🧨)

Previous: 🔒 Leader’s Dispatch: Has Your 🪜Overhead Gone Over Your Head? 🔦

Leader’s Dispatch — The 2026 Premonition

Part 4 of 4 in the Winter Reflections Mini-Series

The signals, capabilities, and mindsets modern leaders will need most as the new year rises


I. Cold-Open: The Observatory Above the Classroom

You weren’t expecting a staircase behind the chalkboard.

But there it is — a narrow spiral, half-hidden, dust-coated, clearly well aware you’d get here eventually.

You climb.

The air changes first.
Cooler. Thinner. Less “classroom after a final exam” and more “the moment just before a discovery.”
Your hand grazes the railing, and then the staircase opens into something entirely unexpected.

An observatory.

A winter observatory.

A glass-domed room perched above everything you’ve just walked through — the attic of Part 2, the classroom of Part 3 — as if the year has been quietly preparing you for this altitude.

Frost rims the windows in branching crystalline patterns.
Brass instruments gleam under a soft blue dawn.
Star charts animate themselves, redrawing lines you didn’t ask them to redraw.
And in the center of the room, a massive mechanical orrery slowly rotates — except the planets aren’t labeled Mercury or Mars.

They’re labeled:

Ambiguity
Pace
AI Drift
Signal
Noise
Psychological Safety

Someone, somewhere, has a sense of humor.

Your eyes drift toward the telescope.
It’s already aimed.
Already focused.
Already waiting, which is mildly irritating because you thought you were the one arriving with insight.

You place a hand on the brass body of the scope.

It’s warm.

The universe has been trying to send you memos all year.

You were just stuck in meetings.


II. Setting the Frame: Premonition vs. Prediction

Before you look through the telescope — before you dare — the observatory offers one quiet, stabilizing truth:

Prediction is dead. Premonition is alive.

Prediction assumes the world will behave.
Premonition knows better.

Prediction demands certainty.
Premonition demands awareness.

Prediction tries to control the horizon.
Premonition trains you to read it.

This is the real reason you had to climb the stairs.

  • In Part 1, you saw what actually happened.

  • In Part 2, you faced what you built — on purpose or by accident.

  • In Part 3, you absorbed the lessons that refused to be ignored.

In Part 4, you look forward. Not with fantasy — with capability.

Because 2026 isn’t asking for predictions.
It’s asking whether you can hear it speaking.


III. The Signals of 2026 (What Every Modern Leader Must Notice)

You finally look through the telescope.

Except you don’t see stars.

You see constellations of meaning — clusters of leadership signals shaping the year ahead.

Each constellation pulses with a story.


1. The Constellation of Accelerating Ambiguity

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Collaborate with Mark ✅ to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Mark S. Carroll · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture